6/49 prediction method

Nikolai

Nikolai

Member
Hello People.

I would like to share with you a lotto 6/49 prediction method, that can raise a bit the probability to guess the winning numbers on the next draw.
It is based on the intervals of the numbers, eg the number of draws between two appearances of the same number.

Suppose the number 1 appears after 7 draws, we write 7 as first number of the sequence, then same number 1 comes after 8 draws, we write 8 etc.
By this way we can build the sequence of intervals for the number 1, it looks something like: 7, 8, 30, 3, 10, 7, 5, 2 ...

The goal is to obtain a mathematical equation, so we can build the intervals curve, using a sequence of numbers, that we already know.
For example, using the sequence 1, 2, 3, 4, 5 ....

I spent a lot of time, analysing the databases of the most 6/49 lotteries, searching for suitable equation, to reproduce all intervals curves for the 49 numbers.

Below is the equation:

Y = a + a3*sin(a4 + c1*cos(b1*X+e1) + d1*sin(b2*X+e2) + c2*cos(b3*X+e3) + d2*sin(b4*X+e4)+c3*cos(b5*X+e5) + d3*sin(b6*X+e6)+c4*cos(b7*X+e7) + d4*sin(b8*X+e8)+c5*cos(b9*X+e9) + d5*sin(b10*X+e10)+c6*cos(b11*X)+e11 + d6*sin(b12*X+e12)+c7*cos(b13*X+e13) + d7*sin(b14*X+e14))+a5*cos(a6 + c9*cos(b17*X+e17) + d9*sin(b18*X+e18) + c10*cos(b19*X+e19) + d10*sin(b20*X+e20)+c11*cos(b21*X+e21) + d11*sin(b22*X+e22)+c12*cos(b23*X+e23) + d12*sin(b24*X+e24)+c13*cos(b25*X+e25) + d13*sin(b26*X+e26)+c14*cos(b27*X+e27) + d14*sin(b28*X+e28))

The parametters values are the following:

a 7.29968401551873
a3 -16.685835427847
a4 4.03362006820856
a5 11.7878901996141
a6 -0.929875140722455
b1 -2.18308812702256
b10 2.19257627739827
b11 0.646184039028009
b12 3.12875081362303
b13 -2.63990819911078
b14 -1.23445265954403
b17 1.68432237929677
b18 1.80681539787069
b19 -1.00807239478445E-02
b2 5.6223457630153
b20 1.8198683870071
b21 3.42192985805353
b22 1.86269712706211
b23 0.540543148349822
b24 1.86248490223944
b25 1.22919827028682
b26 1.88811410276383
b27 0.542228454843728
b28 1.85312655171971
b3 -2.93793519786925
b4 3.05516005231002
b5 4.15565748199625
b6 1.99914999103218
b7 1.42403484496882
b8 1.12315432067913
b9 0.58752842233569
c1 9.58219972192211
c10 444.826536028089
c11 -256.60103094578
c12 -590.091497107117
c13 173.815562399882
c14 -605.344333544192
c2 160.540667471316
c3 235.597570526473
c4 193.064941311939
c5 -69.904752286696
c6 -85.770268955927
c7 276.721054209067
c9 -374.987916855954
d1 100.982005590423
d10 -51.7169119126939
d11 -59.0688708086887
d12 -55.7217141421084
d13 -51.5930580430944
d14 -64.5398179559034
d2 -173.685727106493
d3 -28.8164892769008
d4 -141.058426244729
d5 -172.520435212672
d6 -61.5407710429053
d7 114.003339618542
d9 -58.8664769640924
e1 233.179121249626
e10 35.3007579693589
e11 4.03405432942252
e12 -72.2717461326021
e13 144.393758949961
e14 17.5110796441641
e17 -108.758489911582
e18 -69.3990298810884
e19 -114.061251203356
e2 -72.6478127424059
e20 -70.3976436552606
e21 -206.192826567812
e22 -71.1614672890905
e23 -169.344108721358
e24 -72.5937280345943
e25 -205.741600763855
e26 -73.9063811523117
e27 -169.78163733803
e28 -67.941409230581
e3 154.397943691535
e4 66.3060796849447
e5 130.975552547632
e6 114.372274193839
e7 -194.072161107444
e8 16.2743819539458
e9 25.157528943044


If we give a values for X as 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9 ... the Y result will be a curve, very close to the intervals curve:
Coefficient of Multiple Determination (R^2) = 0.9874443055

Since we know the intervals curve of the number till its last appearance, the goal of the next step will be to attempt to predict the next point of the intervals curve,
using the curve we already built with the above equation.

Let's see for example, we know the last 10 points of intervals curve of the number 1:
it will looks something like 1, 4, 12, 31, 1, 1, 2, 1, 2, 10

Well, now, lets build our curve using the above equation, giving a values for X = 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, ......... 100 000 (exemplary)
After getting this work done, lets compare the 10 points of the intervals curve with every set of 10 points of our curve, evaluate the Correlation function for every 2 compared sets,
and find the set of 10 points, that best matches the 10 points of the intervals curve.

The 11th point of our curve will match the next point of intervals curve in 3 - 7 % of all cases.

This is definitely a bit better than random guessing, but still not enough to break the huge house edge of the lottery.

Have fun and good luck!
:sleeping:
 
Brad

Brad

Member
Hmmm ... well, ok then. Now put your money where your 'equation' is and make a prediction for today's draw, and for a few more after that ;)

The history file for CN49 is available here .
 
T

taaroa

Member
Nicolai,

Thanks for sharing your method.
I'll try it for my lotto for some draws. I know by experience that you cannot win each time you play.

Greetings.

taaroa
 
Nikolai

Nikolai

Member
Hey Guys, thank you for the replies.

I am going to make an Excel program as example.

Happy holidays to all of you and let the New Year bring to all of us many new lotto ideas and huge winnings :liplick:

Cheerz.
Nikolai
 
G

GillesD

Member
New method for analysis

For your information, Nikolai, your formulation works fairly well in Excel. One modification you may want to do is change the first constant a (equal to 7.299...) to a1. Then position each constant in the proper cell (a1 in cell A1, a3 in cell A3 and so on). After that, copy your formula in another cell and change the reference for X to another cell (like G1) and place in that cell the number (1 to 49) for which you want to calculate the value Y.

Or even better, in cells G1 to G49, place the values 1 to 49 and copy the adjusted formula in cell H1 to H49 and it will give you the Y value for each number between 1 and 49.

Actually the values will vary from a minimum of -20.015 for number 2 to a maximum of +35.007 for number 23.
 
Nikolai

Nikolai

Member
Hi GillesD,

Thanks very much for the advice.
I believe that a negative phase of intervals curve maybe exists, sunce an interval value of 1 is most likely to occur and the average of all intervals is around 8.16667 (49/6), but due to the nature of the numbers drawing the negative values are always positive (like abs() math function) and mixed with the other 'truely' positive values in the intervals curve.
 
H

heminen

Member
Hello Nikolai

Thank's for your work on this method.

I work on french Loto (With other on this forum)
Please i you realize an excel file, may you put a link to download it
i want to test it.

cordialement
 
H

heminen

Member
hello

after re read post i see Gilles D have realized the excel file
may he put a link to download it, please

it's to make some test with french loto

thank's et bonne chance à tous
 
Nikolai

Nikolai

Member
Hi Guys,

Before all i would like to thank you for the replies.

I will try to post a download link soon, for a sample excel program, so everyone who is interested can check the results for the past draws and make a prediction for the next draw.

Have fun and good luck to all of you.
 
anxious

anxious

Member
Hello Nikolai,

I did try your excel method..

I inported my lottery data sorted Oldest(on top)-to-Newest(bottom)

then indexed the draws 1 oldest to 1524 newest

then i bult the tables and set cell C3 in sheet 'DrawTest' to 1523

then i hit 'START' and the numbers in draw 1524 came up

what can i say.. i am speechless
anxious to go out and play

best regards and thank you
anxious

PS: do you have something similar for 5/45 main plus 1/20 bonus games?
 
Nikolai

Nikolai

Member
Hi anxious,

Thank you for testing the program.
Wish you a pretty heavy winnings :thumb:

Will develop 5/45 soon.

Have fun and good luck.

Nikolai
 
anxious

anxious

Member
Looking forward to that 5/45, 1/20 .xls Nikolai..

I can send you history data for it if you want..

anxious
 
anxious

anxious

Member
well Nikolai, i was a bit hasty on the excitement

i was looking at the wrong line..

the prediction (i.e., Numbers to play) for the next draw (1524) gave me 1 HIT out of 13 predictions

i m gonna try with 'points to compare = 20' see what happens

anxious
 
anxious

anxious

Member
seting 'points to compare =20' i got 2 out of 17

maybe more draws need to be tested in order to draw a conclusion

anxious
 
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