Pick 3 Turbo Pl
Member
Today the K7 hit in OHD (097) after going 40 draws without play. From a previous thread
http://www.lotto649.ws/daily-lottos/7575-pick-3-system-program-analysis.htm
I mentioned the 7 was ripe for play, and that I expected it to play somewhere between 38 and 44 draws.
I played draw 38, skipped 39, played 40 and 41.
To manage the risk I started out with a .25 ticket draw one, went to a .50 ticket draw 2 and went to a $1 ticket draw 3. I played the singles side only draw 1, and draw 2, then played both sides draw 3.
Here is the cost breakdown
Boxed:
Draw 1 Total Invested $9 for a $29 return
Draw 2 Total Invested $27 for a $48 return
Draw 3 Total Invested $82 for a $68 return
Played online. The singles boxed payout was $150.
A modest win, but the probability for success was very high. However, money mangement is key, and also there is a bit of luck involved. You cannot be exactly sure when a number under these conditions is going to fall, but you can have a high degree of certainty it will fall in the reasonably near future.
The question of whether or not these games are rigged hangs in the air. I generally think they are subject to rigging. It is completely unbelievable that in a naturally occurring random selection a key number would take 40 draws, even 30 to play. If a human hand is intervening, they have to 'allow' the condition to play at some point or it blows their cover. Would anybody believe a number can disappear for 50 draws? Mid 40s maybe, but 50 is really pushing it.
I have tested a number of very complex random number generators for three number games, I suspect the most sophisticated in the world, and none of them even took a number out over 20 draws. What happens in the games the states play is the formulas are altered from time to time to produce an artificial result - typically resulting in some sort of extreme, just like the one we saw with OHD.
It is difficult to predict exactly how the rigger is thinking, but again, getting into the 40 consecutive non-play area raises eyebrows. Those that control the games don't want you to think they are rigged, so at some point they are forced to give it up to keep up appearances. At least this is my working thesis based on my observations of number flow.
Not all games are rigged, but CA, OH, IL and a number of other definitely are. But despite this, the stats pick up these behaviors. It just takes time to study them to learn how to recognize them and then capitalize on them.
This is a fairly complex undertaking. The next area of focus is to decide which aspects of the game will be subject to artificial rigging. I'll talk about that later when I have had a change to gather my thoughts on the subject.
As for what is next, it looks like Pennsylvania Mid Day is coming up for a root repeat. ( 123 = 1+2+3 = R6 or 957 = 9+5+7 = 21 = 2+1 = R3)
The current maximum for all games is 62 (GAD), next, interestingly, is PAE at 61, and now we have PAD currently at 59. If the root does not repeat tomorrow it PAD will move to 60 consecutive draws without a root repeat. My research indicates no plays past the 60s, so I expect the root to repeat pretty soon, within 7 draws.
As far as cost, a root play, to cover both sides, is 24 to 25 combinations, including triples. It is nice to have a program that can automatically set them up for you, as anticipating a root play typically means setting up a different root each draw.
Here are the combinations, for example, for a R2 play (last root PAD):
A R2 play for PAD is not too bad here. Over 60 draws of no repeats is a shade better, but the R2 in this case for this game has a repeat rate of 5, which is fairly high (I have not seen this in double digits).
Anyway, is this a rigged element? Well, a root repeat draw over draw is a bit esoteric, but it is conspicuous that this is occurring in BOTH Pennsylvania games. They might want to push it past PAE at 61. In the last two years, the all time high for all games in a 361 draw period is 67. So I expect we'll see the PAD root repeat draw over draw pretty soon.
Fortunately it only involves 24/25 combinations. If we are in risk management mode, we can comfortably play with .25 tckets, go up to 10 draws out and our max investment/return is:
$294 for a net return of $81. A conservative model. This is what the matrix looks like
http://i132.photobucket.com/albums/q16/p3plyr/matrix1.jpg
Of course, a more aggressive player could attempt to more fully capitalize on this contingency. But you always have to remember even good risks are still risks, so be sure you can afford to lose the amount you are willing to put in play.
I tend to be extremely aggressive, but I keep the wagers low as *if* i need to stay on a play for more draws than I like the expense to cover the play and still end up net profitable can be pretty steep.
Ideally we can get within just a few draws and can avoid getting dragged into a 10 draw play. But I am willing to lose for a risk I prefer.
So we'll see how PAD plays out. These sorts of plays only come around a few times a year so I am not sure if i'll be doing any skipping. However, some roots (depends on the game) have a very low repeat rate (0-2) and i might pass if I see that.
http://www.lotto649.ws/daily-lottos/7575-pick-3-system-program-analysis.htm
I mentioned the 7 was ripe for play, and that I expected it to play somewhere between 38 and 44 draws.
I played draw 38, skipped 39, played 40 and 41.
To manage the risk I started out with a .25 ticket draw one, went to a .50 ticket draw 2 and went to a $1 ticket draw 3. I played the singles side only draw 1, and draw 2, then played both sides draw 3.
Here is the cost breakdown
Boxed:
Draw 1 Total Invested $9 for a $29 return
Draw 2 Total Invested $27 for a $48 return
Draw 3 Total Invested $82 for a $68 return
Played online. The singles boxed payout was $150.
A modest win, but the probability for success was very high. However, money mangement is key, and also there is a bit of luck involved. You cannot be exactly sure when a number under these conditions is going to fall, but you can have a high degree of certainty it will fall in the reasonably near future.
The question of whether or not these games are rigged hangs in the air. I generally think they are subject to rigging. It is completely unbelievable that in a naturally occurring random selection a key number would take 40 draws, even 30 to play. If a human hand is intervening, they have to 'allow' the condition to play at some point or it blows their cover. Would anybody believe a number can disappear for 50 draws? Mid 40s maybe, but 50 is really pushing it.
I have tested a number of very complex random number generators for three number games, I suspect the most sophisticated in the world, and none of them even took a number out over 20 draws. What happens in the games the states play is the formulas are altered from time to time to produce an artificial result - typically resulting in some sort of extreme, just like the one we saw with OHD.
It is difficult to predict exactly how the rigger is thinking, but again, getting into the 40 consecutive non-play area raises eyebrows. Those that control the games don't want you to think they are rigged, so at some point they are forced to give it up to keep up appearances. At least this is my working thesis based on my observations of number flow.
Not all games are rigged, but CA, OH, IL and a number of other definitely are. But despite this, the stats pick up these behaviors. It just takes time to study them to learn how to recognize them and then capitalize on them.
This is a fairly complex undertaking. The next area of focus is to decide which aspects of the game will be subject to artificial rigging. I'll talk about that later when I have had a change to gather my thoughts on the subject.
As for what is next, it looks like Pennsylvania Mid Day is coming up for a root repeat. ( 123 = 1+2+3 = R6 or 957 = 9+5+7 = 21 = 2+1 = R3)
The current maximum for all games is 62 (GAD), next, interestingly, is PAE at 61, and now we have PAD currently at 59. If the root does not repeat tomorrow it PAD will move to 60 consecutive draws without a root repeat. My research indicates no plays past the 60s, so I expect the root to repeat pretty soon, within 7 draws.
As far as cost, a root play, to cover both sides, is 24 to 25 combinations, including triples. It is nice to have a program that can automatically set them up for you, as anticipating a root play typically means setting up a different root each draw.
Here are the combinations, for example, for a R2 play (last root PAD):
Code:
029,038,047,056,128,137,146,236,245,389,479,569,578,002,011,119,155,227,299,335,344,488,668,677A R2 play for PAD is not too bad here. Over 60 draws of no repeats is a shade better, but the R2 in this case for this game has a repeat rate of 5, which is fairly high (I have not seen this in double digits).
Anyway, is this a rigged element? Well, a root repeat draw over draw is a bit esoteric, but it is conspicuous that this is occurring in BOTH Pennsylvania games. They might want to push it past PAE at 61. In the last two years, the all time high for all games in a 361 draw period is 67. So I expect we'll see the PAD root repeat draw over draw pretty soon.
Fortunately it only involves 24/25 combinations. If we are in risk management mode, we can comfortably play with .25 tckets, go up to 10 draws out and our max investment/return is:
$294 for a net return of $81. A conservative model. This is what the matrix looks like
http://i132.photobucket.com/albums/q16/p3plyr/matrix1.jpg
Of course, a more aggressive player could attempt to more fully capitalize on this contingency. But you always have to remember even good risks are still risks, so be sure you can afford to lose the amount you are willing to put in play.
I tend to be extremely aggressive, but I keep the wagers low as *if* i need to stay on a play for more draws than I like the expense to cover the play and still end up net profitable can be pretty steep.
Ideally we can get within just a few draws and can avoid getting dragged into a 10 draw play. But I am willing to lose for a risk I prefer.
So we'll see how PAD plays out. These sorts of plays only come around a few times a year so I am not sure if i'll be doing any skipping. However, some roots (depends on the game) have a very low repeat rate (0-2) and i might pass if I see that.
