Frank
Member
Moses said:Who or what makes or decides that last Wed lotto results very popular numbers? Where do you get that idea
from?.
Moses, the definition of the word popular is "Liked or admired or chosen by many people". Since the Lotto changed to 6/59 format and before Last Wednesdays draw the average number of match 5 winners per draw was just 80. So popular numbers must be the ones contained in draws where an excessive over average number of match 5 winners appear. 4082 match 5 winners is the highest number of match 5 winners in UK Lotto history. BY DEFINITION that makes five of the six main malls popular numbers.
Moses said:Are you by any chance trying to say for the past 22 years we did not have popular numbers and all of sudden there we have it?
So if this situation had never occurred before where do you get the idea the following lotto result were popular numbers??? Please
explain
These people will have had these numbers for donkeys years. They didn't suddenly become popular, you don't know what numbers people have chosen until those numbers are drawn in the lottery. Then suddenly you find out ! If you can give me an example of them being drawn before and not being popular please tell me where they are.
Moses said:23/03/2016, 14,21,42,35,07,41,43 ------ lotto result with £15 match 5 payout
Let’s analyse above set of numbers
Above set of numbers has got 65 times match 3s and 4 times match 4s in past history of lotto results which some of the very
recent ones are below
20/02/2016, 57,17,35,02,59,41,42 (match 4 = £158, match 5 = £1698)
30/01/2016, 01,44,31,06,21,41,42 (41,42 in exact location, match 4 = £67 and match 5 = £487)
03/10/2015, 14,44,08,09,35,07,04 (the same format is current draw, for this draw and the prize for matching 4 numbers was £70,
matching 5 numbers £970)
25/07/2015, 04,14,22,29,07,21,41 (matching 4 numbers would have won you £79 and matching 5 £890)
Moses, I am sure you are aware that the prize money paid out at match 4 ,5 and 5+BB is dependent on many factors. The number of tickets sold as well as the result can decide how many people share at a prize and consequently what the individual payout is. Also the day of week affects sales and hence individidual shares. Simply cherry picking at past results out of context proves nothing.
You should be aware, to put these in context that:-
The average no of prizewinners (per draw) for the 6/49 Lotto at Match 5 level, since the price of a ticket was £2 (and sales halved) = 297 on Saturday and 161 on Wednesday.
The average no of prizewinners (per draw) for the 6/59 at Match 5 level, = 94 on Saturday and 69 on Wednesday.(Excludes last Wednesdays draw)
(Saturday) 20/02/2016, 57,17,35,02,59,41,42 (match 4 = £158, match 5 = £1698)
The Only main ball multiple of 7, was 35! 42 was a bonus, not valid in a match 5 win. There were only 60 match 5 winners, well below the Saturday average, for the 6/59 format. Hence the high payout.
(Saturday) 30/01/2016, 01,44,31,06,21,41,42 (41,42 in exact location, match 4 = £67 and match 5 = £487)
Contains one multiple of 7 in the main balls. The bonus ball 42, not valid in a match 5 win. There were 239 match 5 winners, more than double the average number for Saturdays 6/59 format. 1 and 6 are popular numbers (1,2,3,4,5,6 ) possibly the most popular set. Hence the number of match 3 winners was 199,925 - more than the Saturday's average,155,500.
(Saturday) 03/10/2015, 14,44,08,09,35,07,04 (the same format is current draw, for this draw and the prize for matching 4 numbers was £70, matching 5 numbers £970)
If by same format you mean same drawn position, then order is irrelevant for a match 5 win which does not take position into account. Also you are not comparing like for like since this draw was 6/49 and the one in question is 6/59 (Different prize percentages applied - see below). There are two multiples of 7 and a triplet 7,8,9 which meant that the number of match 3 winners was 300,667 - more than the average Saturday 287,470 match 3 win. The number of match 5 winners was close to average.
With the introduction of 6/59 Camelot changed the rules for prize allocation to allow for funding of the 1 million pound raffle. This means that the prize fund for match 5 is now 0.3564% of the total sales.
Previously it was 4.5% of (42.47% of ticket sales - cost of match 3 wins). Which works out at more than the formula above. This why prizes for the 649 lotto were considerably higher than for the 6/59.
(Wednesday) 15/07/2015, 04,14,22,29,07,21,41 (matching 4 numbers would have won you £79 and matching 5 £890),
Old lotto rules, the same argument applies. Three multiples of 7 and the number of match 5, 4 and 3 winners were way above the Wednesday £2 ticket average. Popular numbers!
Apart from the last one, which contains possible birthdays and multiples of seven in the main balls, few in the list you just published has relevance to FIVE popular main ball numbers.
Surely you are not going to tell me that you didn't know that number 7 was considered lucky ? The number 42 has double luckiness as its also the meaning of life, the universe and everything.
Moses said:Popular numbers cannot effect and target just one particular division such as matching 5 numbers only!
Well Moses, I just demonstrated that above, so we agree on that one. I'm wondering what your point is, but I assume you are implying that draw 2113, that's the 23/03/2016, 14,21,42,35,07,41,43 --- lotto result that paid out £15 for match 5... did NOT affect other 'divisions' ?
Well it DID. Match 5 plus bonus ball 6 winners, five more than the Wednesday average. Match four 7879 winners, 3500 more than the Wednesday average. Match three 114232 winners, 16000 more than the Wednesday average. Popular numbers Moses !
For your information the average match count of winners per draw over the 649 history is (per draw)
average no of prizewinners at Match 5, = 508
average no of prizewinners at Match 5 +BB = 12
average no of prizewinners for Jackpot = 4
If you filter the results to show only the results with more than 1000 match 5 wiinners (the popular numbers)
Then you get:- 156 draws in which
average no of prizewinners at Match 5, = 1386
average no of prizewinners at Match 5 +BB = 34
average no of prizewinners for Jackpot = 6
This PROVES that popular match 5's = improved match 5 +BB wins and improved Jackpot wins on average. It doesn't guarantee a jackpot win because the Golden Ball that everyone was banking on could be missing for that draw.
Moses said:Also with this popular numbers then how come no-one won the jackpot,which number was so unpopular that made the jackpot rollover?
That's obvious Moses. None of numbers 42 or 49 or 56 were drawn ! They would be on tickets but weren't drawn.
Moses said:To cut story short and give you perfect example of their theft they have created 1.5b combinations method (15 colours and 8 digits) to pay 21 prizes whilst lottery itself has 14 million combinations (6/49) and 1000s of winners!!This is like you decide to give street beggar $1 but you make it so difficult for him to get your $1 by giving him mixed Rubix-Cube
to solve and sort it! If you want to give your dollar away so why making it so difficult for the beggar therefore if Camelot guaranteeing to give away 20 X £20,000 why they have chosen 1.5 billion combinations to go through and select winners?
To me that is impossible task to win so those winners do not exist and they just pocket the money!
Moses, anyone who has either run a raffle or participated in one will know that the number of tickets available has nothing to do with the number of tickets entered into the raffle. In a real world raffle the tickets are sold from one of many books, and each ticket has a counterfoil or stub which is a copy of the sold ticket, which then goes in the drum for the raffle. The number of books of tickets available or the number of tickets that could be sold has no relevance to the probability of winning. You are trying to suggest that just because there are 1.5 billion combinations AVAILABLE (the population of Europe and North America put together) that this is the odds against winning the millionaire raffle, which is grossly misleading. Every ticket sold is isued with a raffle ticket number per line and it is those numbers that go into the draw . The odds against winning the raffle are exactly equal to the number of lottery lines bet on in the draw, its as simple as that.
There is no evidence of anything underhand, illegal or irregular. The rules for calculating prizes at various levels are set in stone, and unfortunately too many people liked those numbers in draw 2113, and the calculations came up with low payments. I wouldn't have liked either, but then I wouldn't have picked those numbers.
Regards,
Frank