Coverage of 18,6,3,5 = 12

PAB

Member
Hi Everyone,

Can Someone give me the Coverage of the Following Wheel Using Covermaster Please.

01 05 06 16 17 18
02 04 08 10 14 15
02 05 12 13 14 17
03 05 07 08 10 17
03 07 09 11 12 13
01 08 10 11 13 18
06 08 09 10 12 16
02 06 07 11 14 16
01 02 03 09 14 18
03 04 06 13 15 16
01 04 07 12 15 18
04 05 09 11 15 17

Thanks in Advance.
All the Best.
PAB
:wavey:
 

Brad

Member
T if M Tested Covered % Not Covered %
----------------------------------------------------
2 If 2 : 153 153 100.00000 0 0.00000
2 If 3 : 816 816 100.00000 0 0.00000
2 If 4 : 3,060 3,060 100.00000 0 0.00000
2 If 5 : 8,568 8,568 100.00000 0 0.00000
2 If 6 : 18,564 18,564 100.00000 0 0.00000
2 If 7 : 31,824 31,824 100.00000 0 0.00000
3 If 3 : 816 240 29.41176 576 70.58824
3 If 4 : 3,060 2,340 76.47059 720 23.52941
3 If 5 : 8,568 8,568 100.00000 0 0.00000
3 If 6 : 18,564 18,564 100.00000 0 0.00000
3 If 7 : 31,824 31,824 100.00000 0 0.00000
4 If 4 : 3,060 180 5.88235 2,880 94.11765
4 If 5 : 8,568 2,232 26.05042 6,336 73.94958
4 If 6 : 18,564 11,172 60.18100 7,392 39.81900
4 If 7 : 31,824 26,798 84.20689 5,026 15.79311
5 If 5 : 8,568 72 0.84034 8,496 99.15966
5 If 6 : 18,564 876 4.71881 17,688 95.28119
5 If 7 : 31,824 4,896 15.38462 26,928 84.61538
6 If 7 : 31,824 144 0.45249 31,680 99.54751

Hi PAB,

I think if you cut/paste into WordPad the formatting will improve, making it easier to read.
Try it from the 'Quote' function.

Cheers
 

Brad

Member
There ... that looks better

Code:
T if M    Tested Covered         % Not Covered     %
----------------------------------------------------
2 If 2 :     153     153 100.00000       0   0.00000
2 If 3 :     816     816 100.00000       0   0.00000
2 If 4 :   3,060   3,060 100.00000       0   0.00000
2 If 5 :   8,568   8,568 100.00000       0   0.00000
2 If 6 :  18,564  18,564 100.00000       0   0.00000
2 If 7 :  31,824  31,824 100.00000       0   0.00000
3 If 3 :     816     240  29.41176     576  70.58824
3 If 4 :   3,060   2,340  76.47059     720  23.52941
3 If 5 :   8,568   8,568 100.00000       0   0.00000
3 If 6 :  18,564  18,564 100.00000       0   0.00000
3 If 7 :  31,824  31,824 100.00000       0   0.00000
4 If 4 :   3,060     180   5.88235   2,880  94.11765
4 If 5 :   8,568   2,232  26.05042   6,336  73.94958
4 If 6 :  18,564  11,172  60.18100   7,392  39.81900
4 If 7 :  31,824  26,798  84.20689   5,026  15.79311
5 If 5 :   8,568      72   0.84034   8,496  99.15966
5 If 6 :  18,564     876   4.71881  17,688  95.28119
5 If 7 :  31,824   4,896  15.38462  26,928  84.61538
6 If 7 :  31,824     144   0.45249  31,680  99.54751
 

PAB

Member
Hi Brad,

Thanks VERY Much, that is Exactly what I was After.
Have a Great & Prosperous New Year.

All the Best.
PAB
:wavey:
 

anxious

Member
the above design gives the following hit percentages if you get 5 balls:

6 5 4 3 % Total Acc %
-------------------------------------------------------------------------- - - - 1 1632 19,04762 19,04762
- - - 2 2592 30,25210 49,29972
- - - 3 1584 18,48739 67,78711
- - - 4 528 6,16246 73,94958
- - 1 0-2 2160 25,21008 99,15966
- 1 0 0 72 0,84034 100,00000
 

PAB

Member
Hi anxious,

Thanks for the Reply.
I don't Quite Follow what you are Trying to Say.

All the Best.
PAB
:wavey:
 

Brad

Member
Code:
     6          5          4          3         Total       %        Acc %   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     -          -          -          1         1632    19.04762    19.04762 
     -          -          -          2         2592    30.25210    49.29972 
     -          -          -          3         1584    18.48739    67.78711 
     -          -          -          4          528     6.16246    73.94958 
     -          -          1         0-2        2160    25.21008    99.15966 
     -          1          0          0           72     0.84034   100.00000

PAB, anxious provided the detailed stats from CoverMaster for predicting 5 from 18 numbers correctly, for your wheel ... or put another way "if5", sorted by Win Value from lowest to highest (I cleaned them up for ease of viewing). CM can do that for hits from 3 to 7, this is the "if5" scenario only.

The minimum "if5" Win is 1 (one) 3 number prize, chance of that happening is 19.04762% ... but there's a better chance of winning at least 2 (two) 3 number prizes at 30.25210% ... and so on.

I'm sure you can follow through on the rest.

Cheers
 

anxious

Member
Thanks for cleaning up the report Brad.
The reason i put this report up was to hopefully stir a discussion about wheels evaluation in general and what to look for in a particular design before deciding it is worth playing..

For example, does the above "if4"-25.21% and "if5"-0,84% make this design worth-while playing?
What should one look most in a certain design (among all similar designs) before saying "oh this is the one to play"?

Cheers
 
Optimized 3 if 5 in 12 ticket wheel

Brad said:
Code:
     6          5          4          3         Total       %        Acc %   
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
     -          -          -          1         1632    19.04762    19.04762 
     -          -          -          2         2592    30.25210    49.29972 
     -          -          -          3         1584    18.48739    67.78711 
     -          -          -          4          528     6.16246    73.94958 
     -          -          1         0-2        2160    25.21008    99.15966 
     -          1          0          0           72     0.84034   100.00000

PAB, anxious provided the detailed stats from CoverMaster for predicting 5 from 18 numbers correctly, for your wheel ... or put another way "if5", sorted by Win Value from lowest to highest (I cleaned them up for ease of viewing). CM can do that for hits from 3 to 7, this is the "if5" scenario only.

The minimum "if5" Win is 1 (one) 3 number prize, chance of that happening is 19.04762% ... but there's a better chance of winning at least 2 (two) 3 number prizes at 30.25210% ... and so on.

I'm sure you can follow through on the rest.

Cheers


Folks, this is absolutely "the best" 18-number in 12 ticket 3 if 5 wheel available.

It was "optimized" by Nick Koutras several years ago.

Compare the detailed results in Covermaster vs a standard 18-number in
12 ticket 3 if 5 wheel:

For Example: Standard Wheel

1) 1 2 3 4 5 6
2) 1 2 7 8 9 10
3) 1 2 11 12 13 14
4) 1 2 15 16 17 18
5) 3 4 7 8 13 14
6) 3 4 9 10 15 16
7) 3 4 11 12 17 18
8) 5 6 7 8 17 18
9) 5 6 9 10 11 12
10) 5 6 13 14 15 16
11) 7 8 11 12 15 16
12) 9 10 13 14 17 18

IF YOU GUESS CORRECTLY 5 NUMBERS

6 5 4 3 Total % Acc%

_ _ _ 1 2304 26.89 26.89
_ _ _ 2 1728 20.17 47.06
_ _ _ 3 1728 20.17 67.23
_ _ _ 4 576 6.72 73.95
_ _ 1 1-2 2160 25.21 99.16
_ 1 0 0 72 0.84 100.00


Both wheels produce identical guarantees...but the OPTIMIZED version
produces higher win percentages(i.e. in the case of 5 Correct Numbers,
Nicks wheel guarantees "only one" 3/6 ticket in 19.04% of all cases-vs
26.89% for the Standard Wheel).

Thats the whole point of "wheel optimization".


A great, great budget wheel for 6/49 Lotto.


Rob Erhardt
 

anxious

Member
Hi,

In my Lottery, 6/49, money worth talking about come if you guess at least 5 numbers and above. So, in both Optimized and Standard wheels presented above, i look at the "if5" case..

So, in the "if5" case above both Optimized and Standard wheels will give me a 5-number win 0.84% of the time.. This is equal to never??

Therefore, i d be disinclined to play this wheel cuz it be waste of time and money..

I am sorry, maybe i read this the wrong way..

anxious
 

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