A Promising Pick 3 Strategy?

[freestyle]

Hello Everyone,

I was looking at playing all the odd and even numbers every day, four draws per day, since they hit a lot.

ALL EVEN: (02468)
024, 026, 028, 046, 048, 068, 246, 248, 268, 468

ALL ODD: (13579)
135, 137, 139, 157, 159, 179, 357, 359, 379, 579

What killed the systems is, although they hit (all odd, or all even) often enough to make a good profit, half the time the hit contains doubles and triples (226 or 333). Since we aren't including doubles and triples the mechanical system fails.

So I looked at past results and it seems after 9 draws without a hit from our group of "20" they hit again within 2-3 draws.

A couple times the hit comes after 12 or 14 draws so a progression has to take place after 4 losses. My State, Texas, pays $80 on an any order bet for $1 so one would have to double after 4 losses to break even. Ouch.

my questions...

1) My assumption (whether correct or not) is that Pick 3 is random, that hot and cold numbers are a fallacy because frequency always moves to balance, making specific educated "guesses" from past draws meaningless. When I look at my States past performance frequency data all 10 numbers are more, or less, even. The spread between the least frequent and most frequent only varies a little.

Is there a better mechanical way to play a set group of numbers everyday?

2) Another assumption: Mechanical selection offers no guessing or reliance on past draws BUT since we know random is always moving to balance, as indicated by frequency data, we can try to take advantage of that move. An analogy is Roulette. We can say if the 1st Dozen has not hit in 9 spins the odds are good that it will hit soon, since again the balance is extremely uneven and random always moves to balance.

But with Roulette, betting that random moves to balance, as in my analogy, a progression is always needed. It is much easier play random against itself on a dozen in Roulette because there are only three of them, with Pick 3 there are 999 of them.

Does anyone use a progression playing the Pick 3? Please give examples.

3) Finally, check your States past performance to see how frequent the set of "20" odd/even numbers above hit and post. I'd love to get your thoughts, ideas and suggestions.

I do not want to argue that my assumptions are wrong. I know some people differ.

Lee

 

[freestyle]

Back gain with a new thought...

Pick just one, odd or even, and play those ten boxed numbers.

Wait till one of these ten numbers hits, then wait until there is no hit after 10 draws then start betting.

You will get eight plays to break-even, then start a progression.

With four draws a day for six days out of the week, it looks like the set-up, and win, happens on a regular, predictable basis.

Looking at past results this looks promising, and easier on the wallet given a bad run.

 

[jack]

Example
1459 = odd string = 1,5,9 = 1st 3rd 4th
Odds = 1,3,5,7,9
Pairs = 0,2,4,6,8
We have two-position string we have three-position strings
And 4 positions is already direct
So 2.3 strings is already good
Positioning strings from inside / outside, high / low

 

[Teufellj]

Comment on any games...

I am taking the time to comment on any games of chance for your benefit! As you begin to learn and maybe get a good winning idea---posting to the public; it would be wise to either leave out some informational ways of what you are doing, how you are or will be doing any operation(s). A pet good idea can cause you to be stopped within a few plays and then you wonder why? I'll make it simple-State lottery commissions have people checking and reading most all lottery forums. It is my opinion, that back testing and full runs on an idea somehow
ways are found to block or just plain change the ways that games are won. I have
been a victim and maybe some of you, too. Too much info made public can hurt you!
I am not trying to be a wet washcloth. I think that what all of you are doing is great but, a message of information to a confidant is a smart thing, too.

Just thought you'd like to know...

Teufellj...

 

[freestyle]

Hello Teufellj,

Thanks for the reply. I would tend to disagree. This forum does not get a lot of exposure and the profit I get from my State's Pick 3 will hardly make a dent in their profit.

The odd/even Pick 3 strategy was found online. It is already out there and not my original idea.

My expertise is Roulette, seeing opportunities where random gets unbalanced and is due to move back to balance.

The only problem with playing Roulette is the Casino is an hour and a half away, whereas the corner store is just down the street.

I wondered why the method you posted didn't make a lot of sense to me since you stated to "leave something out". You use several days of draws to select the upcoming plays. You may have regular wins and are in the green over-all, but when I tested this using real past draws it failed more than it won.

American Roulette has 38 positions. Pick 3 has 1,000. Using past results to predict future results is the definition of the Gamblers Fallacy. A fallacy in which an inference is drawn on the assumption that a series of chance events will determine the outcome of a subsequent event.

In my experience with Roulette, the only way to win is 1) find a bias, which is extremely hard to do, 2) time your bet to the throw, also hard to do, or 3) exploit the random nature of the game. Pick three is similar in the fact that due to 1,000 possible outcomes it becomes impossible to use past results to predict future results that will consistently win, week after week. The only way to win has to be to exploit the randomness of the game in a way that by placing a specific type bet, at a specific time, that bet is sure to happen because it always happens sooner or later.

 

[Icewynd]

If you want to limit your plays, I would do it on the near skips rather than long-out skips. The reason for this is that the median skip for an All E or All O is less than 2 games. So, once an ALL E/O hits, 60% of the time another will hit within 3 games (skip 0 26%, skip 1 45%, skip 2 59%). After that, the remaining 41% of hits can happen between skip 3 and skip 23 (in my data), so a much greater spread.

Even if you wait for a long-out skip (e.g. skip 9 with a probability of .95, you still have a possible 13 games to wait (again, based on my data of maximum 23 skips.

 

[Icewynd]

BTW, your 8 game play streak will give you a probability of .92 (i.e a hit before or at skip 7).

 

[freestyle]

I noticed the same type data Icewynd, looking at my States past results, another hit right away. I also noticed an opportunity to play two separate games, one on the 10 odd numbers and one on the 10 even. I think the key is to play four angles, 1) odd near skip, 2) odd medium skip, 3) even near and 4) even medium.

I learned playing Roulette, that a winning strategy is never a 100% winning strategy. One has to practice strict money management. Say we have a $1,000 bankroll we are prepared to gamble with (lose). We split that into four $250 mini-bankrolls. We follow our strategy, and a mild progression, and we bail at a $250 loss and come back another day. If you can bail at the right time and pounce at the right time you have a better chance at overall success. Random moving all the time is fickle, sometimes lady luck is kissing all over you and sometimes she has a headache.