food for thought...
Hey Doc, and all those interested,
You brought up an interesting point when you "splashed" onto the board; welcome, by the way.
I wanted to give you some stats to chew on to help you realize that your fears are somewhat unrealistic in terms of what the members of this board stand to lose by posting numbers every draw.
First of all, as mentioned above, it's pretty hard to tell who's going to hit on any given draw off this board anyway. Besides, in my 18 months here, there's only been one guy who's gotten all 6 out of his 18 and that still doesn't come anywhere near guaranteeing a jackpot hit. As most of us know, and not to take anything away from his accomplishments because it is truly remarkable, the biggest prize he got out of those draws was 5/6 which, as we know, is usually worth anywhere from $1,500 to $2,500 on average. Based on that, the odds of all 1500 members on this board having to share the jackpot are probably pretty slim.
Secondly, assuming that we are able to line up our predictions and everyone on the board (1500) gets a 4/6 win out of it. Base on recent stats, there are an average of 11,500 winners of the 4/6 prize for a pool of approximately $780,000, again on average. This means that the average prize is about $67. Let's take our hypothetical scenario from the beginning of this paragraph and add 1,500 winners to this pool. They would now all take away about $60, instead of the one guy getting his $67. I don't know about you but I'm not too worried about the extra 7 bucks.
Thirdly, one may argue that if we are able to win 4/6 from a very good number set, we would probably also get some 3/6 winners out of it as well. Therefore, let's assume that everyone (1500) on this board wins 1 4/6 prize and 4 3/6 prizes each. On average, there are about 200,000 winners of 3/6 on any given draw. In our new scenario, there would be 206,000 which takes $60,000 away from the 4/6 pot, hypothetically. This now means that, instead of 1 guy getting 4/6 for $67 plus, 3/6 x 4 for $40 for a total of $107, all the members on this board, if you do the math, would win 4/6 for $53 plus 3/6 x 4 for $40 for a total of $93.
Conclusion: The one guy who made the prediction that everyone agreed was the best misses out on $14 but everyone else on the board is ahead $93. Which means the other millions of people who aren't on this board are the ones who truly lost an opportunity.
So stick around, and let's all share the wealth!!