I wonder what the least picked numbers are?
I'm guessing numbers like 1 and 49 are not picked very often by people that pick their own numbers. I would also guess that numbers like 36 and 24 are more common. People don't choose runs very often either.
A 2 - 3 - 4 run would be less likely to be picked then a 32-33-34 run. Funny how people think. The machine shows no prejudice. Last weeks BC /49 draw was 4-5-16-17-18-38. A full house (two pairs and three of a kind) Then a random number all by itself. Weird, but who would ever choose numbers like that?
Out of curiosity I ran LoveLotto's sets to see how closely they mirror the expected win frequency. Here's the summary for 2276 draws (no bonus) :
actual hits (3/4/5/6) -
for 1-20, _655/302/59/5
for 15-34, 673/337/75/6
for 30-49, 743/328/85/7
Now compare the expected win frequency for any 20 numbers with the above sets:
expected hits - (3/4/5/6) - 3/ 7/ 31/ 361
(expressed in terms of number of draws - ie: one would expect a 3 hitter every 3 draws)
actual hits for -
_1-20, 3.5/ 7.5/ 38.8/ 455.2
15-34, 3.4/ 6.8/ 30.3/ 379.3
30-49, 3.1/ 6.9/ 26.8/ 325.1
The actual performance is very close to the expected so far. The trick still remains to consistently improve on the expected not just basically mirror it ...
And then of course wheeling/playing the 20 numbers effectively to have the hitters pay with a positive ROI is another challenge.